See the Probability.
Not Just the Possibility.
Your competitors react to headlines. You'll already know the odds— calibrated probability signals on grid capacity, permits, and regulatory shifts, 30–90 days before they're priced in.
This is how GreenCIO thinks. Not alerts. Calibrated beliefs that update as the world changes.
We track 1,247 facilities, 23,000+ interconnection queue positions, and 50 state regulatory bodies—synthesized through six specialist AI agents into probability signals you can act on.
Built for PE, infrastructure investors, banks, and asset managers
The Cognitive Finance Engine
From Raw Signal to
Calibrated Probability
Traditional intelligence tells you what happened. We tell you what's likely to happen—with confidence scores that evolve as conditions change.
Signal Ingestion
Six specialist agents continuously monitor:
- • 1,247 datacenter facilities
- • 23,000+ interconnection positions
- • 50 state regulatory bodies
- • Satellite imagery changes
Pattern Recognition
Each signal is evaluated against historical patterns:
- • Similar permit filings
- • Queue position trajectories
- • Regulatory precedents
- • Construction timelines
Probability Synthesis
Raw signals become calibrated beliefs:
You Move First
30–90 days before the market:
- • Reposition capital
- • Hedge regulatory exposure
- • Secure capacity early
- • Negotiate with leverage
“We don't just tell you there's risk. We tell you there's a 73% probability of that risk materializing, with a confidence interval that tightens as we gather more signal.”
That's the difference between reacting to outcomes and positioning for likelihoods.
The Problem
$1 Trillion Is Being Deployed.
Most Investors Are Flying Blind.
Grid capacity bottleneck hits Ohio
A major constraint emerges. Projects stall. Capital gets trapped. The news breaks.
Everyone else finds out now.
The deal is already gone. The damage is done.
Day -30
Queue position shifts detected. Probability of constraint: 67%
GreenCIO agents flag interconnection delays
Pattern recognition across 23,000 queue positions. Something's shifting.
You're already positioned
Capital redeployed to ERCOT alternatives. Risk mitigated before it materialized.
Day -60
GreenCIO probability signal: 78% constraint likelihood. You moved.
This isn't hypothetical. Meta's $29B Louisiana financing hinges on grid availability. Ohio's 85% utilization mandate creates $8M annual penalty risk for underprepared operators. 6–12% of U.S. electricity is being claimed by datacenters—and growing.
The question isn't whether these constraints will matter. It's whether you'll see them coming.
What if you knew the probability, not just the possibility?
Your Role
Same Intelligence.
Different Decisions.
Whether you're sourcing deals, underwriting loans, or managing portfolios— you need probability signals you can act on, not data dumps to sift through.
Know the probability of power—before you commit capital.
Your competitors see a permit filed and start due diligence. You see a 73% approval probability, declining queue positions in adjacent projects, and a regulatory environment that's shifted 12 points more favorable in the last 30 days.
That's not faster intelligence. It's better reasoning.
See how PE funds use GreenCIO →Example signal
Updated 2 hours ago. Confidence: High.
Portfolio risk view
Portfolio-wide risk aggregation. Real-time updates.
See energy risk before it becomes credit risk.
Traditional underwriting catches problems after they're priced in. You'll see that a borrower's grid exposure has a 67% probability of causing covenant issues—31 days before the tariff ruling that triggers it.
Underwrite with probabilities, not just projections.
See how banks use GreenCIO →Track transition risk with probability, not promises.
ESG reports tell you what companies claim. We tell you the probability those claims hold up under regulatory stress. When Ohio's 85% rule hit, we had flagged the exposure 31 days earlier—with a probability score that let you act, not react.
Quantify sustainability risk with calibrated beliefs.
See how asset managers use GreenCIO →ESG probability monitor
Beyond claims. Probability-weighted reality.
Same platform. Different probability signals for different decisions.
Get Your Personalized DemoThe Agentic Workflow
From Signal to Probability
GreenCIO doesn't just alert you to events. We synthesize raw signals into calibrated probability distributions you can act on—before the market prices them in.
Analyze
Six specialist agents continuously ingest signals from interconnection queues, regulatory filings, permit databases, and satellite imagery—building real-time probability distributions across your target regions.
Predict
Signals are evaluated against historical patterns to produce calibrated probability distributions. A permit filing becomes a 73% approval probability. A queue shift becomes a 67% constraint risk.
Act
Probability signals arrive 30–90 days before market pricing. You reposition capital, hedge regulatory exposure, or secure capacity—before competitors know there's an opportunity.
Real Signals
The Intelligence That Moves First
These are the kinds of signals our agents surface. Early detection. Specific data. Actionable intelligence.
Grid Constraint Early Warning
Ohio permit filing detected 47 days before public announcement. Investor positioned before $2.1B in competing capital arrived.
47 days
Lead time advantage
1,247
Facilities tracked
Interconnection Queue Analysis
MISO queue bottleneck identified. 8 projects delayed 18+ months. Early signal allowed capital reallocation to ERCOT alternatives.
18 mo
Delay avoided
23,000+
Queue positions monitored
Regulatory Risk Detection
PUCO 85% utilization rule flagged 31 days before final ruling. Portfolio adjusted to meet new compliance thresholds.
31 days
Pre-ruling notice
50 states
Regulatory coverage
The Intelligence Network
Six Specialist Agents.
One Unified Belief System.
Each agent maintains calibrated probability distributions on its domain—grid capacity, regulatory risk, permits, investment signals, cost forecasting, and geopolitical exposure. Together, they synthesize signals into actionable intelligence 30–90 days before markets price it in.
Grid
Stability
Transition
Risk
Asset
Optimization
Investment
Intelligence
Cost
Prediction
Geopolitical
Analyst
Ohio Datacenter Expansion
ERCOT Grid Constraint
Cross-agent synthesis. Updated continuously. Confidence intervals available.
What each agent tracks
Grid Stability
Autonomous load balancing, predictive rerouting, frequency deviation response. Monitors 23,000+ queue positions. Calculates P(capacity available) for any site.
Transition Risk
PPA performance analysis, REC portfolio hedging, carbon price modeling, regulatory impact assessment. Calculates P(regulatory impact) for your portfolio.
Asset Optimization
Predictive maintenance, anomaly detection, battery storage optimization, service dispatch planning. Calculates P(operational efficiency) by asset.
Investment Intelligence
Automated due diligence, risk/return modeling, arbitrage identification, portfolio benchmarking. Calculates P(deal viability) with confidence intervals.
Cost Prediction
Self-improving cost models, weather impact forecasting, hidden cost identification, explainable LCOE. Calculates P(cost trajectory) with full transparency.
Geopolitical Analyst
Sovereign stability modeling, sanctions exposure, supply chain chokepoints, critical mineral tracking. Calculates P(geopolitical disruption) by region.
The agents don't work in isolation. When Grid Capacity detects a constraint, Investment Signals recalculates deal viability. When Regulatory Risk flags a ruling, Cost Forecast updates price projections. One system. Unified reasoning.
Your Competitors Are Moving Fast.
Are You?
Every day without early intelligence is a day your competition is positioning. Get access to the same signals that move first.
Sources
- DOE/LBNL estimate data centers at ~4.4% of US electricity in 2023, rising to 6.7–12% by 2028 —DOE,LBNL
- Ohio (PUCO) approved an 85% minimum usage rule for large data centers (12 years) —AEP Ohio,PUCO
- Meta’s ~$29B Louisiana data‑center financing (approx. $26B debt led by PIMCO + $3B equity Blue Owl) —Reuters
Live Intelligence
What We're Tracking Right Now
Permits filed. Grid capacity changed. Financing announced. Our agents catch it all. See the latest signals below.
See the full feedWeekly Intelligence Brief
The signals that moved markets this week. Grid constraints. Permit activity. Financing deals. One email, every Monday.